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On Climate: Beneath the waves ... a warming ocean’s unfolding crisis

Our planet’s vast oceans, teeming with life and regulating our climate, are experiencing an unprecedented crisis. Recent data paints a stark picture of rapidly warming waters reaching record-breaking temperatures and signaling a profound shift in the Earth’s climate system. This escalating ocean heat wave, driven by human-induced greenhouse gas emissions and amplified by natural phenomena like El Niño, is a clarion call for urgent action. For those unfamiliar with El Niño, it’s a climate pattern characterized by unusually warm ocean temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific, which can significantly impact weather patterns worldwide.

Ocean waters, rising and warming

Ocean heat content, a measure of the energy stored in the ocean, has steadily climbed over the past few decades. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the upper 2,000 meters of the ocean have absorbed a staggering amount of heat since the 1950s, equivalent to the energy of approximately 3.6 billion Hiroshima atomic bombs. This immense thermal burden is manifesting in many ways, from rising sea levels and intensified storms to widespread disruptions of marine ecosystems.

In recent years, sea surface temperatures have reached alarming highs. In 2023 alone, global average sea surface temperatures hit an all-time record, about one degree celsius above pre-industrial levels, exceeding the previous record set in 2016 during a strong El Niño. This year’s El Niño, coupled with the underlying trend of human-caused warming, has created a perfect storm of heat stress for marine life. Large swaths of the ocean have experienced marine heat waves—prolonged periods of abnormally high temperatures that can have devastating consequences for marine ecosystems. Some of these heat waves have been so severe that scientists have begun classifying them using the same categories as hurricanes, with some regions experiencing “Category 4” and even “Category 5” marine heat waves.

The consequences of this oceanic fever are far-reaching and multifaceted. Warmer waters expand, contributing to sea level rise, which threatens coastal communities and ecosystems worldwide. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, global mean sea level has risen by approximately 8–9 inches since the late 19th century, with the rate of rise accelerating in recent decades. Intensified storms, fueled by warmer ocean waters, pose an increasing threat to human populations and infrastructure. Research suggests that hurricanes and typhoons are becoming more powerful and destructive as a result of rising ocean temperatures, drawing energy from the warmer surface waters.

A threat to marine life

Beneath the surface, the ocean’s ecosystems are also under siege. Coral reefs, vibrant underwater cities teeming with life, are particularly vulnerable to heat stress. When temperatures exceed their tolerance thresholds, corals expel the symbiotic algae that provide them with food and color, resulting in a phenomenon known as coral bleaching. If the heat stress persists, bleached corals can die, leading to the collapse of entire reef ecosystems. In recent years, mass coral bleaching has become more frequent and widespread, raising alarm bells about the future of these critical habitats. Additionally, warmer waters hold less oxygen, leading to the expansion of oxygen-depleted “dead zones” that suffocate marine life.

The warming of the ocean is not just a threat to marine life; it’s also a major driver of climate change. The ocean plays a crucial role in regulating Earth’s climate by absorbing vast amounts of heat and carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. However, as the ocean warms, its ability to absorb carbon dioxide decreases, leaving more greenhouse gas in the atmosphere to trap heat. Furthermore, warmer waters can release stored carbon dioxide back into the atmosphere, creating a positive feedback loop that further exacerbates climate change.

The urgency of the ocean’s plight cannot be overstated. As I’ve written about many times over the last year, the latest IPCC report warns that we have a rapidly closing window to act if we want to avoid the most catastrophic consequences of climate change. Bold and decisive action is needed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, transition to clean energy sources, and protect and restore marine ecosystems.

The ocean’s future, and ours, hangs in the balance. In protecting the ocean, we are ultimately protecting our own survival and well-being.

Rich Marcello is a novelist and a member of the Climate Initiative Committee. In writing his latest novel, “The Means of Keeping,” he spent several years researching the climate crisis.

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